IF Manning chokes, if they play with a FLAWLESS offense. That's a lot of ifs. If Manning gets flustered and chokes, and the Texans play with a flawless offense (emphisis on flawless), they too would defeat Indy. The Bears can't play flawless offense, and they have shown that the D, is not quite so dominant. The Colts crushed the Steelers, who I believe just convincingly beat the Bears. No, other than the fact that any team can win on any given Sunday, the Bears won't beat the Colts.